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All-TigerNet [12943]
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It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:01 AM
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at 31% chance currently
carry on
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Athletic Dir [865]
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The regular season is not as important as you think it is.
Nov 8, 2022, 8:03 AM
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A 12-1 team has a good chance of being in the CFP.
One think we know for sure about college football is that there will be more top ranked teams to lose in November.
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Legend [16384]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:04 AM
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That seems so crazy to me given the fresh wounds, etc.
But it’s twoo, it’s twoo!
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110%er [7302]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:19 AM
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Maybe ESPN is projecting UNC to be a one-loss team (rated in the Top 10) going into the ACC Championship game, and that if we destroy UNC then we will have re-legitimized ourselves as CFP worthy.
Can't see how beating Louisville, Miami, and S.Carolina will give us much CFP credibility.
(We could lose to Louisville, and we surely could lose to UNC, so we've got a lot BTC before any embers of CFP talk can flicker again.)
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Orange Blooded [4162]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:23 AM
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Tigers are not out of the playoff scenario yet. Win out plus the ACC championship will leave us at 12-1. A lot of teams will not be playing for their conference championship. Will make a difference as to who is in and who is out of the CFP. Go Tigers
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CU Guru [1466]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:27 AM
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A lot of things could happen; however I wonder who the committee puts at 4, if it comes down to a 12-1 Clemson or an 11-1 Tennessee?
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All-TigerNet [11020]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:29 AM
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ACC's Boo Corrigan (Head of CFP) says Hi!
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Orange Blooded [2950]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:32 AM
[ in reply to Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP ] |
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A lot of things could happen; however I wonder who the committee puts at 4, if it comes down to a 12-1 Clemson or an 11-1 Tennessee?
I think we need to see how Tenn finishes. If they get back to blowing out the inferior SEC teams plus GT they likely get the nod. It would be a rare circumstance of a one loss conference champ getting jumped but ND validated the eye test of our Tigers vs. an impressive UT team outside the lopsided loss to the Dawgs.
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110%er [7542]
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Orange Blooded [2099]
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Re: It’s interesting to me that ESPN still gives us the 5th best odds to make the CFP
Nov 8, 2022, 8:57 AM
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Currently, there are 4 undefeated teams, and 2 of them play each other. That means someone with 1 loss is getting into the Playoff.
Oregon still plays Utah, Oregon State, and potentially USC/UCLA in the Pac-12 title game. Vice versa for USC/UCLA winner, plus USC plays Notre Dame. If USC beats UCLA, loses to ND, then beats Oregon, then everyone in Pac-12 will have 2 losses and Pac-12 is out.
TCU still plays at Texas and at Baylor, plus potential Big 12 title game vs. Texas/KState/Baylor. TCU is 9-0, but every other Big 12 team is 6-3 or worse. Should Texas/Baylor beat TCU once or twice (i.e.- Texas wins this weekend and in Big 12 title game), TCU is out.
That leaves potential 1-loss teams such as Tenn, Mich/OSU, and Clemson. Clemson would be the only team among those with a conference championship. Committee would then have to decide if a 1-loss Tenn/Mich is "unequivocally" better than the champion, Clemson. That's the guideline laid out for the Committee.
Assume UGA is 1 and OSU is 2, that leaves 3 and 4 to be filled by someone with a loss. I can definitely see that scenario unfolding and Clemson being in the Playoff. Just gotta take care of business the next 4 weeks. The thing is, that's a lot of "what-ifs" including Clemson looking better than we have all season. But with games still to be played, it's not too far-fetched.
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Oculus Spirit [94291]
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Imo, it's much lower than that.
Nov 8, 2022, 9:03 AM
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I think the ACC is perceived to be a much less conference than the B1G and SEC. Perhaps even the Big 12. I further think that since our loss is late and our future opponents are not world beaters a lot of bad things would have to happen to other teams for us to get a seed.
I'd say the probability is around 12%-15%. Frankly, if we don't get our QB situation resolved I'd rather not go out and be embarrassed by UGA.
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