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YOUR BALANCE
Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....
General Boards - Politics
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Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....

2

May 1, 2024, 10:00 AM
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https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

This is within the margin of error, although Trump has consistently polled better for many months. I don't know this for sure. But my guess is that Kennedy's presence helps Biden, because I think Kennedy will siphon away more Trump-leaning voters.

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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....


May 1, 2024, 10:01 AM
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Trump leads in the swing states. That's all that matters.

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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....


May 1, 2024, 10:26 AM
Reply

Exactly

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Behind 9+ pts in the most recent drop-box survey.***


May 1, 2024, 10:01 AM
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military_donation.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Re: Behind 9+ pts in the most recent drop-box survey.***

1

May 1, 2024, 11:41 AM
Reply

It’s like beating Duke in Cameron. Gotta win by 12 points to win the game.

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Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....


May 1, 2024, 10:25 AM
Reply

Kennedy is polling best in heavily blue states like California and Washington. Biden is polling considerably worse than in those states than he did in 2020. Partly bc Trump is polling better but mainly bc Kennedy is taking votes. This, to me, proves Kennedy is taking away a significant amount of votes from Biden. Trump is also ahead in every battleground state. He is over 10% ahead of Biden in Florida.
Florida is no longer a battleground state.

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Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states....


May 1, 2024, 11:18 AM
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It's too early to draw any conclusions, because many people aren't yet paying attention, but he is currently behind.

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Re: Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states....


May 1, 2024, 11:42 AM
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True. When we get to August we will have a better picture.

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Re: Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states....


May 1, 2024, 11:42 AM [ in reply to Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states.... ]
Reply

True. When we get to August we will have a better picture.

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There are probably only 7 states that matter in November


May 1, 2024, 3:17 PM [ in reply to Biden is in a tough spot in the battleground states.... ]
Reply

Last I looked Trump led all of them, some significantly. National polls don't matter.

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GO TIGERS!!


Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls....


May 1, 2024, 11:37 AM [ in reply to Re: Trump ahead by 0.7% in an average of national polls.... ]
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Kennedy is polling best in heavily blue states like California and Washington. Biden is polling considerably worse than in those states than he did in 2020. Partly bc Trump is polling better but mainly bc Kennedy is taking votes. This, to me, proves Kennedy is taking away a significant amount of votes from Biden. Trump is also ahead in every battleground state. He is over 10% ahead of Biden in Florida.
Florida is no longer a battleground state.


Don’t tell Balm that, he lives there

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It's baseball season, so... "Swing and a miss!"***


May 1, 2024, 10:36 AM
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2024 white level memberbadge-donor-10yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


Kennedy has my vote, assuming he can get on the ballot in Virginny.***


May 1, 2024, 10:45 AM
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2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg2016_nascar_champ.gif flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


A Whitewater Romance will premiere on Hallmark on May 11th.


May 1, 2024, 11:04 AM
Reply

And oddly, I care more about that than Trump or Biden's poll numbers.

And let me tell you how much I care about Hallmark movies........so much I went and looked it up to reply honestly to this post.

2024 orange level memberbadge-donor-15yr.jpgringofhonor-tiggity-110.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up


If you don't care, then why even post a response?****

1

May 1, 2024, 11:17 AM
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I think Kennedy hurts Biden more


May 1, 2024, 1:23 PM
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The Republican Never Trumpers will now vote for Kennedy instead of choosing between 'no vote' and Biden. Without Kennedy, Biden would pick up some of those votes.

2024 white level memberbadge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

If Trump wins, is the election still rigged?***


May 1, 2024, 3:18 PM
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badge-donor-05yr.jpg flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

No, but unfortunately


May 1, 2024, 3:20 PM
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Doesn't matter who wins, shit's gonna be on fire.

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GO TIGERS!!


Re: If Trump wins, is the election still rigged?***


May 1, 2024, 11:01 PM [ in reply to If Trump wins, is the election still rigged?*** ]
Reply

Absolutely.

2024 orange level member flag link military_tech thumb_downthumb_up

Replies: 18
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