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Predicting QB busts
Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
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Replies: 7
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Predicting QB busts

1
May 14, 2024, 1:52 PM
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I read an article today that alleged a QB's boom/bust rate could be predicted by looking at two stats with 95% confidence.
1. A sack rate of 8.9% or below.
If they pass that test
2. Average completion yards of 6.5% or above

If the QB missed #1 but passed #2 it would not predict a bust.

If the QB missed only #1 it would predict a 95% chance of a bust.

If the QB passed #1 and failed #2 it would also indicate a bust

If the qQB failed both it would pedict a bust. Meaning you had a QB that could not scramble and was not capable of reading the field or accurate enough to complete downfield passes.

I am not so sure because last year it seemed like the scheme would not allow Cade to pass downfield so IMO he would have been limited in average yards by the dink and dunk pass play calling since they are considered high percentage plays most of the time and the coaches knew the OL was weak.

Thoughts? What stats do you think matter most? I typically look at TD's to Int. Another I might look at it would be completion rate in the redzone.

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Re: Predicting QB busts

2
May 14, 2024, 8:41 PM
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Before we place Cade on a bust list, let's at least give him a season with a couple to 3 healthy receivers and just a little better improved Matt Luke O line. If he does a terrible job, I'll vote with whoever we need another QB, just sayin!!!

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Re: Predicting QB busts

1
May 14, 2024, 8:45 PM
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Completion rate of "6.5% " of what?

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Re: Predicting QB busts


May 14, 2024, 10:46 PM
Reply

I think he meant at least 6.5 yards/completion.

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Re: Predicting QB busts


May 15, 2024, 11:12 AM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
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yeah, sorry. Average completion yards of above 6.5.

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Re: Predicting QB busts


May 15, 2024, 11:55 AM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
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All of Clemson's receiver were injured last. From Randall to Collins to others, you name it. Collins was just as much a bust as DJU, and Randall was as injury prone as Joel Embiid. Perhaps Wesco will break out and have a great season, as well as Luke's revamped OL.

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Re: Predicting QB busts

1

May 15, 2024, 11:56 AM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
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I agree. Cade needs a "wake-me -up" season.

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Re: Predicting QB busts

1

May 15, 2024, 12:00 PM [ in reply to Re: Predicting QB busts ]
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The greatest need is to replace the "glass body' receivers. Durability counts. Spector can't catch a cold in traffic. Where have you gone, Hunter Renfrow?

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Replies: 7
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Tiger Boards - Clemson Football
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